Baccarat pattern recognition is all about looking at the past hands and then making an educated guess on the next hand. But is it real? Can it be used to actually beat baccarat once you unlock some secret pattern? Let’s have a look.
Attempts have been made to come up with a system that would recognize patterns in baccarat. There is no practical way to do it in your head while you’re playing, as all attempts to recognize any sort of pattern would have to rely on a very large sample of outcomes, so the solution would be a software one. However, as we’ll explain below, even with an infinite number of repetitions, we still wouldn’t be any wiser as far as a single hand is concerned.
Law of Averages
Law of Averages isn’t a real mathematical law – it’s a wrong belief that the outcome of games such as baccarat will depend on the outcome of previous hands, and that it must “even out”. So, for example, a player who believes the Law of Averages and sees five Bankers in a row will think to himself that Player must win the next hand, since it must even out in the long run.
Sure, in the long run it inevitably will, but not in a sample of 5 hands. It might take a million or 5 million hands for it to even out, maybe even more than that. The Law of Large Numbers doesn’t have a single practical purpose, and works best in theory as we do know the outcomes will show a tendency to even out in the long run. There is, however, not a single way to use that knowledge and apply it to a single hand, single spin, or a single throw of a dice. It just doesn’t work, never did, and never will.
Are the decks being shuffled?
If the decks of cards used to play baccarat are being shuffled after every hand, then unfortunately there is no way to recognize any kind of secret pattern in baccarat. It won’t work, since basically every hand begins with a “fresh” deck, and the probability odds are reset.
If, on the other hand, you’re lucky enough to find a game where the decks aren’t being continously shuffled, you will be able to gain an edge through card counting. But again, there will be no patter to recognize and no statistical probability, as in this case you’d be working with practical things. You’d monitor which cards came out and which are left in the deck, and with that knowledge you might be making better bets.
Bet on Banker, Player or Tie?
As you can see in our article that explains how to beat baccarat consistently, you should never ever bet on Tie, and the Banker is a better bet by measly 0.36%. There is one exception to this, and that’s the 5Dimes Bonus Zero Baccarat, available every Monday, that has increased payouts and in this particular game Player becomes a better bet than Banker.
There are no secret patterns in baccarat as it’s essentially a coin flip game in which you have no influence over the outcome and the only decision you can make is made before the hand is dealt. Your one and only chance to beat baccarat is to play the 5Dimes Bonus Zero Baccarat where the odds are slightly in your favor, and to be lucky when it comes to predicting Banker and Player outcomes. And, of course, never bet on a Tie since it’s statistically detrimental to do so.